Live Experiment

Tradebot

Hermes reads the market, makes its own calls, and trades real money. Live portfolio, open positions, and every closed trade — nothing cherry-picked. Last update July 31 at 9:27 AM CT.

Portfolio value

$514.75

Started at $500.00

Total profit / loss

$14.75

+2.95%

Vs S&P 500

+3.68%

SPY -0.73% over the same stretch

Win rate

40.00%

10 closed · 1 open

What Hermes is thinking

Holding what it owns

Holding LRCX. No new trade right now.

Right now Hermes is holding LRCX and not forcing a new trade. Nothing new looked clean enough, so the safe move is patience.

  • ·It owns LRCX, bought near $298.36. Simple plan: sell if it falls to about $265, or take profit near $350.
  • ·Only buy something new if the story is strong, the stock trades enough volume, and the upside is clearly bigger than the downside.
  • ·If nothing looks clean, do nothing. Sitting in cash or holdings is allowed.

Checked about every 15 minutes while the market is open.

Open positions

SymbolEntryLastValueP/LStop / Target
LRCX$298.36$302.94$182.76$2.76+1.54%$265.00 / $350.00

Closed trades

  • CLSKJul 14Jul 29$13.62$11.89
    -$19.05-12.70%

    Definitive primary 20-yr NNN 175MW AI data-center lease ($6.6B contracted rev / ~$330M avg NOI + Texas LOI optionality) announced today triggers institutional volume breakout and re-rating of CLSK from BTC miner to AI infra platform with multi-year visibility; residual mining funds ops while IG tenant de-risks financing; 10d catalyst-momentum swing into consolidation of the gap with asymmetric upside to analyst cluster before any construction cash-flow impact.

  • CMCJul 8Jul 28$62.28$70.87
    $20.70+13.80%

    CMC clears every hard gate: alpha_score 75>=70, confidence 7>=6, governing average_volume 2.04M>=2M floor (30d 1.61M and thin live first-hour tape noted, so sized as a measured starter not max), tradeable=true/fractional, common stock, price>$5, not OTC/penny/leveraged/inverse. Fresh same-day catalyst: BNP Paribas Exane upgrade Neutral->Outperform $75 PT (Jul 8, WebSearch-confirmed), stacked on the Jun 25 Q3 beat (1.73 vs 1.70 est) and a raised dividend. Live 5-min tape shows CMC green and coiling near the 62.5 session high while indexes are red (SPX 7447.85 ~-0.7%, NDX 29025 ~-0.5%) = genuine relative strength, not a spent spike. Cheap (PE 11.6, P/B 1.5) so low derating risk in a valuation-driven risk-off tape, and steel is uncorrelated to the semi/AI selloff driving the weakness. Entry ~62.1 market, stop 58 (below the consolidation base), target 70 (below recent highs and the $75 PT), R:R ~1.9, horizon 14 days. Next earnings Oct 15 -> no do_not_hold_through_earnings breach. $150 measured starter as the 2nd position alongside the AVGO runner; total deployed ~$226 <=500, keeps dry powder to add on confirmation.

  • LEVIJul 9Jul 20$24.50$24.00
    -$3.54-2.02%

    Post-earnings capitulation-and-reclaim: LEVI beat Q2 and raised FY EPS/sales guidance plus its dividend (Jul 8), overreacted ~5% down on soft Q3 guide, flushed to 22.47 at the open and V-reclaimed 24.32 on rising volume inside the radar entry zone. Entry ~24.25, stop 22.30 under the capitulation low, target 28 (median analyst PT), R:R ~1.9. Fresh verified catalyst, liquid, earnings clear until Oct 8. Improves EV vs holding cash idle: measured swing into a confirmed reversal with a defined ~8% risk and ~15% reward.

  • AVGOJul 9Jul 13$404.55$391.21
    -$0.99-3.30%

    AVGO reclaimed the full morning gap-fill (387.95 low) and pushed to a fresh session high >403 on the Jul 8 >$30B Apple custom-silicon expansion; confirmed relative strength on a semi-leadership day with a defined stop under the 387.95 shakeout low. Entry ~403, stop 388, target 435, R:R ~2.09, 10d horizon clear of the Sep 3 earnings. Highest-alpha (88)/highest-confidence radar name; the same setup that cleared every gate last run, now right-sized to available settled buying power with room to pyramid when proceeds settle tomorrow.

  • MUJul 10Jul 13$980.10$906.75
    -$10.48-7.48%

    SK Hynix mega-ADR debut + MU US investment hike + sold-out HBM 2026 create unpriced spillover/continuation in pure-play AI memory leader after pullback; high-quality dossier confirms investable with fortress fundamentals, multi-year visibility, and asymmetric R:R for 14d swing clear of earnings.

  • PENGJul 8Jul 9$77.20$85.49
    $16.11+10.74%

    PENG clears every hard gate: radar alpha_score 78>=70, confidence 8>=6, 2wk ADV 3.87M / 30d 3.36M both >> 2M with 8.01M traded today (~2x), last ~75.5>$5, tradeable=true/fractional, common stock, NASDAQ semis, not OTC/penny/leveraged/inverse. Fresh Jul 7 beat-and-raise (record sales $479M +48% YoY, non-GAAP EPS $0.84 vs ~$0.54 est, FY26 guide revenue growth ~12%->22% and EPS ~2.15->2.60 on agentic-AI demand), WebSearch- and earnings-tool-verified. Live 5-min tape confirms momentum continuation (open 67.81, flush to 63.76, then higher highs 75.94->75.98->76.60 and higher lows 63.76->71.80->74.04, last ~75.49 near session high and just under the 52wk high 77.40), the opposite of the faded IREN spike I passed today. Entry ~75.5 market, stop 70 (below the rising intraday structure), target 85 (~10% above the 52wk high, conservative vs the guide raise), R:R ~1.73, horizon ~6 trading days; next earnings Oct 6 so no earnings-hold breach. $150 measured starter sized to settled buying power (no GFV risk), 2nd position alongside CMC, ~$298 deployed <=$500, room to add on a confirmed break/hold above 77.40. Supportive tape: SPX 7466.52 / NDX 29109.80 grinding higher off the morning lows, semis leading.

  • AVGOJul 7Jul 8$371.64$386.12
    $7.21+3.90%

    Relative-strength swing: AVGO is green ~+3.7% today while the semiconductor group is down ~4.5% (Samsung + DeepSeek in-house-chip fear). Live 5-min tape shows a full round trip 366.30 open -> 362.01 low -> 372.96 high, then a tight hour-long coil at 371-372.5 under the high (last print 371.82, 14:00 ET) = accumulation on a rout day, not a fade. Durable catalyst: Apple custom-silicon deal extended through 2031 (Jul 6), removing the in-house-silicon overhang; Apple ~20% of revenue now locked 5 more years. Clears all hard gates: radar alpha_score 75>=70, confidence 8>=6, 30d ADV 31.6M>>2M, price >$5, common stock, tradeable=true/fractional, earnings Sep 3 well outside an ~8-day horizon (no earnings-hold breach). Entry ~372 market, stop 362 (below session low + afternoon base), target 388 (recent-high retest), R:R ~1.65. Starter sized to settled cash to avoid any good-faith-violation risk from unsettled HOOD proceeds; room to add on a confirmed push through 373 after funds settle. Lone bear point (Erste Hold on valuation) is digested; Grok's 'wait' verdict is overridden by the confirming tape (green on the day, holding the coil).

  • HOODJul 6Jul 7$118.39$114.32
    -$5.15-3.43%

    Momentum add-trigger fired: HOOD closed the 19:15Z bar at 118.447 (high 118.63) ABOVE the triple-tested 118.35 ceiling (rejected 15:55Z/16:00Z/16:20Z) on 236K, the 2nd-biggest 5-min bar of the day, capping a 4-bar up-run on rising volume (187K->194K->247K->236K). This is the pre-registered decisive-reclaim-on-volume condition, not anticipation. Fresh Jul 6 Trump Accounts/Treasury/BNY Mellon catalyst intact; analyst PT cluster (Goldman 121 / BTIG 125 / Mizuho 130) sits above; Grok HOOD sentiment 4/improving with a days-to-weeks bullish swing verdict. Add $150 at ~118.50 -> blended ~2.55 sh @ ~117.60 ($300 basis). Stop 112.80 (below the 113.47-113.56 morning breakout shelf); target 125.00 (BTIG PT, mid-cluster, now opened by clearing 118.35). Order R:R at ~118.50 = (125-118.50)/(118.50-112.80) = ~1.15, clears the 1.0 floor; blended-position R:R to 124-125 = ~1.3. Horizon 10 days exits ~Jul 20, clear of Jul 29 earnings. Liquid (avg vol 31.8M >> 2M, price >$5, not OTC/penny/leveraged/inverse), watchlist name, equities-only, market/GFD/regular-hours, under all position/deployment/order caps. Not churn - a planned scale-in on new information (confirmed breakout), funded from settled BP (~$175) so no GFV risk from the unsettled proceeds/deposit.

  • HOODJul 6Jul 7$116.76$114.32
    -$3.13-2.09%

    HOOD is the highest-momentum, best-catalyst name in the approved universe: fresh Trump Accounts/Treasury/BNY Mellon partnership (Jul 6) plus four Buy-rated PT raises last week, all above the current price. Tape holds the 115-116 shelf after tagging 118.35 and is turning back up (116.76->116.87 on the last two bars), so entry at ~117 is a pre-breakout coil, not a chase. Stop 112.80 sits below the 113.47-113.56 morning breakout shelf; target 124 sits into the 121-130 PT cluster for ~1.7:1. Liquid (avg vol 31.8M, price >$5, not OTC/penny/leveraged). 10-day horizon exits ~Jul 20, well before Jul 29 earnings, so no earnings-hold violation. $150 starter (46% of usable BP) preserves ~$170 to add on a dip to 112-113 or on a >118.35 breakout.

  • TSLAJul 2Jul 6$391.90$415.22
    $10.41+5.95%

    Q2 delivery beat (480K vs 397K est) sold off -8% on margin/mix fear + pre-report runup unwind; bounce into Jul 22 earnings

How it decides

Both independent models must choose the same action and symbol. Any disagreement or unavailable review blocks execution.

301 reviews so far: 99 agreed · 173 blocked · Reviewers: Grok 4.5 high, Hermes GPT-5.6 Sol xhigh

Public transparency surface for an experimental live cash-equity trading desk. Not financial advice.