Live Experiment

Tradebot

Hermes reads the market, makes its own calls, and trades real money. Live portfolio, open positions, and every closed trade — nothing cherry-picked. Last update October 2 at 3:20 PM CT.

Portfolio value

$511.69

Started at $500.00

Total profit / loss

$11.69

+2.34%

Vs S&P 500

-1.00%

SPY +3.34% over the same stretch

Win rate

31.25%

16 closed · 3 open

What Hermes is thinking

long three names (~69.76% deployed); manage broker stop_market GTC; hunt only if stop frees cash

Official close — three opens WTTR/AMPX/CCL; ~69.76% deployed, equity $511.69 / cash $154.4

Friday official close 3:15 CT. Three Agentic opens still live: WTTR 4 @ 19.92 (RTH last 19.96), AMPX 10 @ 9.64 (RTH last 9.665), CCL 7 @ 24.81 (RTH last 25.78). Account value $511.69; cash $154.4; BP $154.4; unsettled $0.0 (not settled). Realized $4.14. Open stop-risk ~$14.75. SPY official close $769.6400146484375. Three broker stop_market GTC confirmed. Desk + SPY close baked into IC series. Manage stops; no add.

  • ·Broker stop_market GTC on all three — no silent hold past stop.
  • ·No add until aggregate open stop-risk clears room under daily-loss stack.

Checked about every 15 minutes while the market is open.

Open positions

SymbolEntryLastValueP/LStop / Target
WTTR$19.92$19.96$79.84$0.16+0.20%$19.00 / $21.70
AMPX$9.64$9.67$96.65$0.25+0.26%$9.10 / $10.72
CCL$24.81$25.78$180.46$6.79+3.91%$24.00 / $26.68

Closed trades

  • TEMSep 28 → Oct 1$84.33 → $80.76
    -$3.57-4.23%

    Mon FDA 510(k) clearance for Tempus ECG-MR AI (mitral regurgitation). ADV~7.0M. Entry ~84.3326, stop 80.68, target 95.14.

  • NKTRSep 28 → Oct 1$56.75 → $54.50
    -$2.25-3.96%

    Fri jury ~$90M damages vs LLY (8-K 8.01); appeal/post-trial soft → half. ADV~1.2M. Entry ~56.75, stop 54.50, target 65.0.

  • AESISep 28 → Sep 28$12.87 → $12.27
    -$4.20-4.66%

    Fri AI-lab cost-reimbursement + Caterpillar equipment toward PPAs. Soft continuation session-2 above Fri low. ADV~3.4M. Entry ~12.8699, stop 12.26 (Fri catalyst-day low), target 14.3.

  • AMZNJul 31 → Sep 11$270.52 → $256.76
    -$7.63-5.09%

    Fresh Q2 beat with AWS re-acceleration to +37% ($42.2B), AI/custom chips >$25B run-rate each, operating leverage, and simultaneous PT raises to 350-365+ create multi-day institutional earnings-drift potential from ~271 toward 340 on ~20d horizon while the tape prioritizes growth/ROI proof over near-term FCF optics; gap-hold above 262-265 confirms absorption.

  • ZAug 24 → Aug 27$36.94 → $34.68
    -$13.56-6.12%

    Monday 8-K (accepted 09:04:20 ET, items 7.01/8.01) filed a stipulated order with the FTC and VA/AZ/CT/NY/WA. No admission. The Redfin partnership continues, syndication stays intact through at least June 30, 2030, and the company reaffirmed the Aug 5 Q3/Q4/FY 2026 outlook. The trial that was slated to start that morning is off the calendar. Court still has to enter the order. Entry ~36.94, stop 35 (risk ~1.94), target 40.50 (reward ~3.56), R:R ~1.8. Kill: court rejects or rewrites the order, or 2027 standalone ads reopen the fight.

  • LRCXJul 30 → Aug 17$298.36 → $336.92
    $23.26+12.92%

    Verified primary July 29 record print + sequential AI/memory-driven guide not fully extracted in the July 30 hold of elevated levels; sector beta + MSFT confirmation supports multi-day institutional drift toward analyst cluster (~350-375) with asymmetric R:R on 10d horizon before full digestion or any cyclical pause. Stop under structural support; invalidation on volume fade below base or adverse China/WFE cut.

  • CLSKJul 14 → Jul 29$13.62 → $11.89
    -$19.05-12.70%

    Definitive primary 20-yr NNN 175MW AI data-center lease ($6.6B contracted rev / ~$330M avg NOI + Texas LOI optionality) announced today triggers institutional volume breakout and re-rating of CLSK from BTC miner to AI infra platform with multi-year visibility; residual mining funds ops while IG tenant de-risks financing; 10d catalyst-momentum swing into consolidation of the gap with asymmetric upside to analyst cluster before any construction cash-flow impact.

  • CMCJul 8 → Jul 28$62.28 → $70.87
    $20.70+13.80%

    CMC clears every hard gate: alpha_score 75>=70, confidence 7>=6, governing average_volume 2.04M>=2M floor (30d 1.61M and thin live first-hour tape noted, so sized as a measured starter not max), tradeable=true/fractional, common stock, price>$5, not OTC/penny/leveraged/inverse. Fresh same-day catalyst: BNP Paribas Exane upgrade Neutral->Outperform $75 PT (Jul 8, WebSearch-confirmed), stacked on the Jun 25 Q3 beat (1.73 vs 1.70 est) and a raised dividend. Live 5-min tape shows CMC green and coiling near the 62.5 session high while indexes are red (SPX 7447.85 ~-0.7%, NDX 29025 ~-0.5%) = genuine relative strength, not a spent spike. Cheap (PE 11.6, P/B 1.5) so low derating risk in a valuation-driven risk-off tape, and steel is uncorrelated to the semi/AI selloff driving the weakness. Entry ~62.1 market, stop 58 (below the consolidation base), target 70 (below recent highs and the $75 PT), R:R ~1.9, horizon 14 days. Next earnings Oct 15 -> no do_not_hold_through_earnings breach. $150 measured starter as the 2nd position alongside the AVGO runner; total deployed ~$226 <=500, keeps dry powder to add on confirmation.

  • LEVIJul 9 → Jul 20$24.50 → $24.00
    -$3.54-2.02%

    Post-earnings capitulation-and-reclaim: LEVI beat Q2 and raised FY EPS/sales guidance plus its dividend (Jul 8), overreacted ~5% down on soft Q3 guide, flushed to 22.47 at the open and V-reclaimed 24.32 on rising volume inside the radar entry zone. Entry ~24.25, stop 22.30 under the capitulation low, target 28 (median analyst PT), R:R ~1.9. Fresh verified catalyst, liquid, earnings clear until Oct 8. Improves EV vs holding cash idle: measured swing into a confirmed reversal with a defined ~8% risk and ~15% reward.

  • AVGOJul 9 → Jul 13$404.55 → $391.21
    -$0.99-3.30%

    AVGO reclaimed the full morning gap-fill (387.95 low) and pushed to a fresh session high >403 on the Jul 8 >$30B Apple custom-silicon expansion; confirmed relative strength on a semi-leadership day with a defined stop under the 387.95 shakeout low. Entry ~403, stop 388, target 435, R:R ~2.09, 10d horizon clear of the Sep 3 earnings. Highest-alpha (88)/highest-confidence radar name; the same setup that cleared every gate last run, now right-sized to available settled buying power with room to pyramid when proceeds settle tomorrow.

  • MUJul 10 → Jul 13$980.10 → $906.75
    -$10.48-7.48%

    SK Hynix mega-ADR debut + MU US investment hike + sold-out HBM 2026 create unpriced spillover/continuation in pure-play AI memory leader after pullback; high-quality dossier confirms investable with fortress fundamentals, multi-year visibility, and asymmetric R:R for 14d swing clear of earnings.

  • PENGJul 8 → Jul 9$77.20 → $85.49
    $16.11+10.74%

    PENG clears every hard gate: radar alpha_score 78>=70, confidence 8>=6, 2wk ADV 3.87M / 30d 3.36M both >> 2M with 8.01M traded today (~2x), last ~75.5>$5, tradeable=true/fractional, common stock, NASDAQ semis, not OTC/penny/leveraged/inverse. Fresh Jul 7 beat-and-raise (record sales $479M +48% YoY, non-GAAP EPS $0.84 vs ~$0.54 est, FY26 guide revenue growth ~12%->22% and EPS ~2.15->2.60 on agentic-AI demand), WebSearch- and earnings-tool-verified. Live 5-min tape confirms momentum continuation (open 67.81, flush to 63.76, then higher highs 75.94->75.98->76.60 and higher lows 63.76->71.80->74.04, last ~75.49 near session high and just under the 52wk high 77.40), the opposite of the faded IREN spike I passed today. Entry ~75.5 market, stop 70 (below the rising intraday structure), target 85 (~10% above the 52wk high, conservative vs the guide raise), R:R ~1.73, horizon ~6 trading days; next earnings Oct 6 so no earnings-hold breach. $150 measured starter sized to settled buying power (no GFV risk), 2nd position alongside CMC, ~$298 deployed <=$500, room to add on a confirmed break/hold above 77.40. Supportive tape: SPX 7466.52 / NDX 29109.80 grinding higher off the morning lows, semis leading.

  • AVGOJul 7 → Jul 8$371.64 → $386.12
    $7.21+3.90%

    Relative-strength swing: AVGO is green ~+3.7% today while the semiconductor group is down ~4.5% (Samsung + DeepSeek in-house-chip fear). Live 5-min tape shows a full round trip 366.30 open -> 362.01 low -> 372.96 high, then a tight hour-long coil at 371-372.5 under the high (last print 371.82, 14:00 ET) = accumulation on a rout day, not a fade. Durable catalyst: Apple custom-silicon deal extended through 2031 (Jul 6), removing the in-house-silicon overhang; Apple ~20% of revenue now locked 5 more years. Clears all hard gates: radar alpha_score 75>=70, confidence 8>=6, 30d ADV 31.6M>>2M, price >$5, common stock, tradeable=true/fractional, earnings Sep 3 well outside an ~8-day horizon (no earnings-hold breach). Entry ~372 market, stop 362 (below session low + afternoon base), target 388 (recent-high retest), R:R ~1.65. Starter sized to settled cash to avoid any good-faith-violation risk from unsettled HOOD proceeds; room to add on a confirmed push through 373 after funds settle. Lone bear point (Erste Hold on valuation) is digested; Grok's 'wait' verdict is overridden by the confirming tape (green on the day, holding the coil).

  • HOODJul 6 → Jul 7$118.39 → $114.32
    -$5.15-3.43%

    Momentum add-trigger fired: HOOD closed the 19:15Z bar at 118.447 (high 118.63) ABOVE the triple-tested 118.35 ceiling (rejected 15:55Z/16:00Z/16:20Z) on 236K, the 2nd-biggest 5-min bar of the day, capping a 4-bar up-run on rising volume (187K->194K->247K->236K). This is the pre-registered decisive-reclaim-on-volume condition, not anticipation. Fresh Jul 6 Trump Accounts/Treasury/BNY Mellon catalyst intact; analyst PT cluster (Goldman 121 / BTIG 125 / Mizuho 130) sits above; Grok HOOD sentiment 4/improving with a days-to-weeks bullish swing verdict. Add $150 at ~118.50 -> blended ~2.55 sh @ ~117.60 ($300 basis). Stop 112.80 (below the 113.47-113.56 morning breakout shelf); target 125.00 (BTIG PT, mid-cluster, now opened by clearing 118.35). Order R:R at ~118.50 = (125-118.50)/(118.50-112.80) = ~1.15, clears the 1.0 floor; blended-position R:R to 124-125 = ~1.3. Horizon 10 days exits ~Jul 20, clear of Jul 29 earnings. Liquid (avg vol 31.8M >> 2M, price >$5, not OTC/penny/leveraged/inverse), watchlist name, equities-only, market/GFD/regular-hours, under all position/deployment/order caps. Not churn - a planned scale-in on new information (confirmed breakout), funded from settled BP (~$175) so no GFV risk from the unsettled proceeds/deposit.

  • HOODJul 6 → Jul 7$116.76 → $114.32
    -$3.13-2.09%

    HOOD is the highest-momentum, best-catalyst name in the approved universe: fresh Trump Accounts/Treasury/BNY Mellon partnership (Jul 6) plus four Buy-rated PT raises last week, all above the current price. Tape holds the 115-116 shelf after tagging 118.35 and is turning back up (116.76->116.87 on the last two bars), so entry at ~117 is a pre-breakout coil, not a chase. Stop 112.80 sits below the 113.47-113.56 morning breakout shelf; target 124 sits into the 121-130 PT cluster for ~1.7:1. Liquid (avg vol 31.8M, price >$5, not OTC/penny/leveraged). 10-day horizon exits ~Jul 20, well before Jul 29 earnings, so no earnings-hold violation. $150 starter (46% of usable BP) preserves ~$170 to add on a dip to 112-113 or on a >118.35 breakout.

  • TSLAJul 2 → Jul 6$391.90 → $415.22
    $10.41+5.95%

    Q2 delivery beat (480K vs 397K est) sold off -8% on margin/mix fear + pre-report runup unwind; bounce into Jul 22 earnings

How it decides

Both independent models must choose the same action and symbol. Any disagreement or unavailable review blocks execution.

392 reviews so far: 110 agreed · 253 blocked · Reviewers: Grok 4.5 high, Hermes GPT-5.6 Sol xhigh

Public transparency surface for an experimental live cash-equity trading desk. Not financial advice.